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Evaluating Auroral Forecasts Against Satellite Observations
The aurora is a readily visible phenomenon of interest to many members of the public. However, the aurora and associated phenomena can also significantly impact communications, ground-based infrastructure, and high-altitude radiation exposure. Forecasting the location of the auroral oval is therefore a key component of space weather forecast operations. A version of the OVATION-Prime 2013 auroral precipitation model (Newell et al., 2014, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014sw001056) was used by the UK Met Office Space Weather Operat ...
Mooney, M.; Marsh, M.; Forsyth, C.; Sharpe, M.; Hughes, T.; Bingham, S.; Jackson, D.; Rae, I.; Chisham, G.;
Published by: Space Weather Published on:
YEAR: 2021   DOI: 10.1029/2020SW002688
AURORA; auroral forecasting; forecast verification; OVATION-Prime 2013; ROC scores; space weather
Astronomical sky spectra from the 29–31 October 2003 geomagnetic superstorms: Observations of O+(2Do–4So) and other emissions
High-resolution spectra of the night sky at near-equatorial latitudes have been obtained with the Ultraviolet and Visual Echelle Spectrograph on the 8.2 m Kueyen telescope, European Southern Observatory, Cerro Paranal, Chile, during the 29–31 October 2003 geomagnetic superstorms. These spectra show indications of both thermospheric and ionospheric disturbance. Numerous emission features observed in these spectra have behaviors that correlate with the negative magnitude of the disturbance storm time index (Dst), a measure o ...
Sharpee, B.; Neill, E.; Slanger, T.;
Published by: Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics Published on:
YEAR: 2008   DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2007JA013010