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Evaluating Auroral Forecasts Against Satellite Observations
The aurora is a readily visible phenomenon of interest to many members of the public. However, the aurora and associated phenomena can also significantly impact communications, ground-based infrastructure, and high-altitude radiation exposure. Forecasting the location of the auroral oval is therefore a key component of space weather forecast operations. A version of the OVATION-Prime 2013 auroral precipitation model (Newell et al., 2014, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014sw001056) was used by the UK Met Office Space Weather Operat ...
Mooney, M.; Marsh, M.; Forsyth, C.; Sharpe, M.; Hughes, T.; Bingham, S.; Jackson, D.; Rae, I.; Chisham, G.;
Published by: Space Weather Published on:
YEAR: 2021   DOI: 10.1029/2020SW002688
AURORA; auroral forecasting; forecast verification; OVATION-Prime 2013; ROC scores; space weather